Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.001105 0.001161 0.001218 0.001280 0.001347 0.001416 0.001493
2025-07-20 0.001019 0.001099 0.001184 0.001282 0.001389 0.001506 0.001641
2025-07-27 0.000959 0.001057 0.001164 0.001289 0.001432 0.001591 0.001784
2025-08-03 0.000918 0.001030 0.001154 0.001303 0.001479 0.001680 0.001931
2025-08-10 0.000875 0.000996 0.001133 0.001301 0.001504 0.001742 0.002046
2025-08-17 0.000824 0.000949 0.001093 0.001273 0.001493 0.001758 0.002104
2025-08-24 0.000786 0.000914 0.001065 0.001256 0.001494 0.001786 0.002176
2025-08-31 0.000760 0.000894 0.001052 0.001256 0.001515 0.001839 0.002280
2025-09-07 0.000730 0.000866 0.001029 0.001242 0.001517 0.001865 0.002350
2025-09-14 0.000704 0.000842 0.001010 0.001231 0.001521 0.001894 0.002424
2025-09-21 0.000680 0.000820 0.000991 0.001219 0.001523 0.001919 0.002492
2025-09-28 0.000656 0.000796 0.000969 0.001203 0.001517 0.001933 0.002544
2025-10-05 0.000625 0.000764 0.000937 0.001174 0.001496 0.001930 0.002577
2025-10-12 0.000610 0.000751 0.000930 0.001178 0.001519 0.001987 0.002699
2025-10-19 0.000597 0.000742 0.000926 0.001185 0.001547 0.002052 0.002837
2025-10-26 0.000588 0.000735 0.000926 0.001198 0.001584 0.002131 0.003000
2025-11-02 0.000573 0.000722 0.000917 0.001196 0.001599 0.002179 0.003118
2025-11-09 0.000551 0.000698 0.000891 0.001171 0.001578 0.002172 0.003150
2025-11-16 0.000533 0.000679 0.000873 0.001155 0.001572 0.002186 0.003213
2025-11-23 0.000522 0.000669 0.000866 0.001156 0.001588 0.002235 0.003337
2025-11-30 0.000507 0.000654 0.000850 0.001143 0.001584 0.002252 0.003409
2025-12-07 0.000494 0.000640 0.000837 0.001134 0.001584 0.002276 0.003492
2025-12-14 0.000481 0.000626 0.000824 0.001123 0.001582 0.002295 0.003567